Who will Conor McGregor 🇮🇪 fight next?
Forecast: likely opponents Model estimate
Each percentage is the estimated chance of being his next opponent. These are not chances of winning.
- 25%chance next opponentTalks: McGregor says 'it has to be Holloway' and wants the trilogy at International Fight Week 2027; Holloway is 'down for that'. Holloway beat him at UFC 329 (11 Jul 2026). White won't plan it until McGregor is cleared. Same % as on Holloway's page.
- Retires or steps away first15%chance next opponent3 straight losses at 38, coming off ACL and meniscus surgery (Aug 2026), with one fight left on his UFC deal. The career-stage rule adds a step-away share.
Field / other: 60%. This covers everyone not listed above.
Not confirmed as of 8 Oct 2026: no opponent or date has been officially announced.
Most likely Max Holloway (25%), no event announced yet. Next: retires or steps away first (15%).
Latest status: Not booked, and no booking has been reported. McGregor wants a Holloway trilogy at International Fight Week 2027 ('The Last Dance', the last fight on his UFC deal) and Holloway says he's 'down for that'. Recovering from ACL and meniscus surgery (Aug 2026); Dana White says he's 'out for a year' and won't plan anything until he's cleared. Last fight: Lost to Max Holloway (TKO, knee injury, UFC 329, 11 Jul 2026). Unranked on UFC.com.
Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
- Likely event
- Nothing booked. He wants International Fight Week 2027 (Las Vegas, usually late June or early July); Dana White says he's out for about a year.
- Last fight
- Loss vs Max Holloway · KO/TKO R1 1:09 · UFC 329 · 11 Jul 2026
- Career stage
- 3 straight losses (Poirier twice in 2021, Holloway in 2026): steps back.
- Confidence
- Medium (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last checked
- (UAE time)
- Odds last changed
What changed?
- Sherdog: UFC 332 results (Hernandez def. dos Anjos, TKO R2 3:12) · source
- MMA Fighting: Rafael dos Anjos open to a McGregor fight; McGregor: 'Thank you Rafael' · source
- MMA Fighting: Holloway on a McGregor trilogy: 'I'm down for that, but I don't know what the UFC wants' · source
- MMA Fighting: McGregor statement after knee surgery · source
- The Guardian: McGregor wants 'Last Dance' vs Holloway; White: 'out for a year' · source
- ESPN: McGregor calls for 2027 'Last Dance' vs Holloway · source
- MMA Junkie: Dana White confirms McGregor ACL tear, surgery planned · source
- MMA Fighting: McGregor says 'it has to be Holloway'; Dana White 'not even thinking about it' · source
Only dated items with a source are listed: news reports used for the estimate, plus changes to our logged estimates and fights that took place.
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Fight history Pro record 22-7-0
| Result | Opponent | Method | Rd | Time | Event | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | Max Holloway 🇺🇸 | TKO (knee injury) · R1, 1:09 | 1 | 1:09 | UFC 329 | |
| L | Dustin Poirier 🇺🇸 | TKO (doctor stoppage) · R1, 5:00 | 1 | 5:00 | UFC 264 | |
| L | Dustin Poirier 🇺🇸 | TKO (punches) · R2, 2:32 | 2 | 2:32 | UFC 257 | |
| W | Donald Cerrone 🇺🇸 | TKO (head kick and punches) · R1, 0:40 | 1 | 0:40 | UFC 246 | |
| L | Khabib Nurmagomedov 🇷🇺 | Submission (neck crank) · R4, 3:03 | 4 | 3:03 | UFC 229 | |
| W | Eddie Alvarez 🇺🇸 | TKO (punches) · R2, 3:04 | 2 | 3:04 | UFC 205 | |
| W | Nate Diaz 🇺🇸 | Decision (majority) · R5, 5:00 | 5 | 5:00 | UFC 202 | |
| L | Nate Diaz 🇺🇸 | Submission (rear-naked choke) · R2, 4:12 | 2 | 4:12 | UFC 196 | |
| W | José Aldo 🇧🇷 | KO (punch) · R1, 0:13 | 1 | 0:13 | UFC 194 | |
| W | Chad Mendes 🇺🇸 | TKO (punches) · R2, 4:57 | 2 | 4:57 | UFC 189 | |
| W | Dennis Siver | TKO (punches) · R2, 1:54 | 2 | 1:54 | UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Siver | |
| W | Dustin Poirier 🇺🇸 | TKO (punches) · R1, 1:46 | 1 | 1:46 | UFC 178 | |
| W | Diego Brandão 🇧🇷 | TKO (punches) · R1, 4:05 | 1 | 4:05 | UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Brandão | |
| W | Max Holloway 🇺🇸 | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Sonnen | |
| W | Marcus Brimage | TKO (punches) · R1, 1:07 | 1 | 1:07 | UFC on Fuel TV: Mousasi vs. Latifi |
Show all 29 fights
| Result | Opponent | Method | Rd | Time | Event | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | Ivan Buchinger | KO (punch) · R1, 3:40 | 1 | 3:40 | Cage Warriors 51 | |
| W | Dave Hill | Submission (rear-naked choke) · R2, 4:10 | 2 | 4:10 | Cage Warriors 47 | |
| W | Steve O'Keefe | KO (elbows) · R1, 1:35 | 1 | 1:35 | Cage Warriors 45 | |
| W | Aaron Jahnsen | TKO (punches) · R1, 3:29 | 1 | 3:29 | Cage Warriors: Fight Night 2 | |
| W | Artur Sowiński 🇵🇱 | TKO (punches) · R2, 1:12 | 2 | 1:12 | Celtic Gladiator 2 | |
| W | Paddy Doherty | KO (punch) · R1, 0:04 | 1 | 0:04 | Immortal FC 4 | |
| W | Mike Wood | KO (punches) · R1, 0:16 | 1 | 0:16 | Cage Contender 8 | |
| W | Hugh Brady | TKO (punches) · R1, 2:31 | 1 | 2:31 | Chaos FC 8 | |
| L | Joseph Duffy | Submission (arm-triangle choke) · R1, 0:38 | 1 | 0:38 | Cage Warriors 39 | |
| W | Connor Dillon | TKO (corner stoppage) · R1, 4:22 | 1 | 4:22 | Chaos FC 7 | |
| W | Stephen Bailey | TKO (punches) · R1, 1:22 | 1 | 1:22 | K.O.: The Fight Before Christmas 1 | |
| L | Artemij Sitenkov | Submission (kneebar) · R1, 1:09 | 1 | 1:09 | Cage of Truth 3 | |
| W | Mo Taylor | TKO (punches) · R1, 1:06 | 1 | 1:06 | Cage Rage Contenders: Ireland vs. Belgium | |
| W | Gary Morris | TKO (punches) · R2, 0:08 | 2 | 0:08 | Cage of Truth 2 |
Professional MMA bouts only, newest first. Source: Wikipedia (checked 8 Oct 2026). Opponent flags: Wikipedia/Wikidata or ESPN athlete pages; no flag where nationality could not be verified.
Conor McGregor: frequently asked questions
When is Conor McGregor's next fight?
No fight is officially booked as of 8 Oct 2026. Our outlook: Nothing booked. He wants International Fight Week 2027 (Las Vegas, usually late June or early July); Dana White says he's out for about a year.
Who did Conor McGregor fight last?
Conor McGregor lost to Max Holloway at UFC 329 on 11 Jul 2026 (KO/TKO R1 1:09).
Who is Conor McGregor likely to fight next?
NextSmash model estimate: Max Holloway (25%), retires or steps away first (15%). Updated 8 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
What is Conor McGregor's record?
22-7-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 8 Oct 2026).
Fan poll Your call vs our model
Other welterweight fighters
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- Abubakar Vagaev U27 next: Myktybek Orolbai 8%
- Tahir Abdullayev U26 next: Jake Matthews Booked
More: Welterweight rankings and next fights · Ireland UFC fighters
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, division, status, place of birth) · 8 Oct 2026
- UFC.com rankings (Media + Meta): not in the welterweight top 15, checked 7 Oct 2026 · 7 Oct 2026
- UFC.com: UFC 329 main card results (Holloway def. McGregor, TKO knee injury R1 1:09) · 12 Jul 2026
- MMA Fighting: McGregor says 'it has to be Holloway'; Dana White 'not even thinking about it' · 17 Jul 2026
- MMA Junkie: Dana White confirms McGregor ACL tear, surgery planned · 19 Jul 2026
- ESPN: McGregor calls for 2027 'Last Dance' vs Holloway · 27 Jul 2026
- The Guardian: McGregor wants 'Last Dance' vs Holloway; White: 'out for a year' · 28 Jul 2026
- MMA Fighting: McGregor statement after knee surgery · 7 Aug 2026
- MMA Fighting: Holloway on a McGregor trilogy: 'I'm down for that, but I don't know what the UFC wants' · 21 Aug 2026
- MMA Fighting: Rafael dos Anjos open to a McGregor fight; McGregor: 'Thank you Rafael' · 2 Oct 2026
- Sherdog: UFC 332 results (Hernandez def. dos Anjos, TKO R2 3:12) · 3 Oct 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country, fight history) · 8 Oct 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 8 Oct 2026.