NextSmash MMA
Lightweight · NextSmash rank #20 (unofficial) · Meta board unranked Riser Model only

Who will MarQuel Mederos 🇺🇸 fight next?

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Record 12-1-1 · Age 29 · Born Denver, United States

Last fight: W vs Mason Jones · KO/TKO · 22 Aug 2026

Model estimateNo official booking or credible report. This is our model's estimate.

Not confirmed as of 2 Oct 2026: no opponent or date has been officially announced.

Our forecast

Most likely Rongzhu (8%), no event announced yet. Next: Tommy Gantt (7%), Manoel Sousa (6%).

Latest status: Last fight: Beat Mason Jones (KO/TKO, UFC Fight Night, 22 Aug 2026). No fight announced. Unofficial rank #20 (NextSmash formula, not a UFC ranking).

Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.

Unofficial rank #20 Not a UFC ranking. Ranks 16–30 come from the NextSmash formula (record, last 3 results, ranked wins, activity, Meta board). How it works.

Forecast: likely opponents Model estimate

Each percentage is the estimated chance of being his next opponent. These are not chances of winning.

Field / other: 79%, including Magomed Zaynukov 6%. This covers everyone not listed above.

Likely event
Nothing announced.
Last fight
Win vs Mason Jones · KO/TKO R2 2:07 · UFC Fight Night · 22 Aug 2026
Career stage
Riser: 5 straight wins.
Confidence
Low (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
Last updated
(UAE time)

Fight history Pro record 12-1-1

ResultOpponentMethodRdTimeEventDate
WMason Jones 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿KO/TKO · R2, 2:0722:07UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
DChris Padilla 🇺🇸Draw · R3, 5:0035:00UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg
WMark ChoinskiDecision (unanimous) · R3, 5:0035:00UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
WAustin HubbardDecision (split) · R3, 5:0035:00UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
WLandon QuiñonesDecision (unanimous) · R3, 5:0035:00UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
WIssa IsakovKO/TKO · R1, 4:0914:09Dana White's Contender Series: Season 7, Week 10
WJustice LamparezKO/TKO · R1, 0:5310:53Fury Fighting Championship 80
WMike MurphyDecision (unanimous) · R3, 5:0035:00Fury Fighting Championship 77
WTracy ReederKO/TKO · R3, 2:5832:58FAC 18: Fighting Alliance Championship
WDarren WhitneyDecision (unanimous) · R3, 5:0035:00Fury Fighting Championship 69
WBen LugoKO/TKO · R1, 2:4212:42Fury Fighting Championship 62
LSantiago GuzmanDecision (split) · R3, 5:0035:00Fury Fighting Championship 57
WChris Sherley-RiosKO/TKO · R2, 3:3123:31Fury Fighting Championship 51
WJonathon MoskowitzKO/TKO · R2, 1:0521:05Fury Fighting Championship 47

Professional MMA bouts only, newest first. Source: ESPN (checked 2 Oct 2026).

MarQuel Mederos: frequently asked questions

When is MarQuel Mederos's next fight?

No fight is officially booked as of 2 Oct 2026.

Who did MarQuel Mederos fight last?

MarQuel Mederos beat Mason Jones at UFC Fight Night on 22 Aug 2026 (KO/TKO R2 2:07).

Who is MarQuel Mederos likely to fight next?

NextSmash model estimate: Rongzhu (8%), Tommy Gantt (7%), Manoel Sousa (6%). Updated 2 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.

What is MarQuel Mederos's record?

12-1-1 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 2 Oct 2026).

Your pick Saved on this device only

Just for you: your pick stays in this browser. It is not a community vote, and no one else sees it.

Other lightweight fighters

More: Lightweight rankings and next fights · United States UFC fighters

Sources

  1. UFC.com athlete profile (record, status, last fight) · 2 Oct 2026
  2. ESPN fighter profile (country, fight history) · 2 Oct 2026
  3. ESPN UFC results (scoreboard API): bouts since Jul 2024 used for the unofficial rank · 2 Oct 2026

Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.