Who will Alexia Thainara 🇧🇷 fight next?
Not confirmed as of 1 Oct 2026: no opponent or date has been officially announced.
Most likely Yan Xiaonan (9%), no event announced yet. Next: Tabatha Ricci (7%), Mackenzie Dern (6%).
Latest status: Last fight: Beat Amanda Lemos (Decision (unanimous), UFC Fight Night, 8 Aug 2026). No fight announced.
Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Forecast: likely opponents Model estimate
Each percentage is the estimated chance of being her next opponent. These are not chances of winning.
- 9%chance next opponentModel pick: Ranked #9 and #6, neither has a fight booked. Yan Xiaonan lost last time out, against Denise Gomes (29 Aug 2026).
- 7%chance next opponentModel pick: Ranked #9 and #11, neither has a fight booked. Tabatha Ricci lost last time out, against Fatima Kline (18 Jul 2026).
- 6%chance next opponentPossible Dern challenger after beating Amanda Lemos.
Field / other: 78%, including Jéssica Andrade 6%. This covers everyone not listed above.
- Likely event
- Nothing announced.
- Last fight
- Win vs Amanda Lemos · Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night · 8 Aug 2026
- Career stage
- Riser: 6 straight wins.
- Confidence
- Low (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last updated
- (UAE time)
What changed?
- MMA Fighting: Dern undisputed No. 1 with Zhang Weili's exit from 115 · source
- Sherdog: Dern names three potential opponents after UFC 330 · source
Only dated items with a source are listed: news reports used for the estimate, plus changes to our logged estimates.
Fight history Pro record 15-1-0
| Result | Opponent | Method | Rd | Time | Event | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | Amanda Lemos 🇧🇷 | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld | |
| W | Bruna Brasil | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer | |
| W | Loma Lookboonmee | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes | |
| W | Molly McCann | Submission · R1, 4:32 | 1 | 4:32 | UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady | |
| W | Rose Conceição | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Dana White's Contender Series: Season 8, Week 7 | |
| W | Thaiane Souza | Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1, 4:09 | 1 | 4:09 | Standout Fighting Tournament 45: Dos Santos vs. Santos | |
| W | Sabrina Oliveira | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Jungle Fight 119 | |
| W | Thainara Almeida | Submission (Armbar) · R1, 0:08 | 1 | 0:08 | Maximun Fight 3 | |
| W | Jeanne Ruas | KO/TKO · R2, 2:53 | 2 | 2:53 | Standout Fighting Tournament 34: Buakaw vs. Canguru | |
| W | Gracie Kelly Campos | Submission (Armbar) · R1, 0:08 | 1 | 0:08 | PC: Pentagon Combat 23 | |
| W | Giovanna Melo | Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2, 2:45 | 2 | 2:45 | XForce MMA 10 | |
| W | Rayanne dos Santos | Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R2, 4:48 | 2 | 4:48 | Arena Global: Arena Global 12 | |
| W | Karina Ribeiro | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Arena Global 8 | |
| L | Bruna Brasil | Submission (Guillotine) · R3, 0:33 | 3 | 0:33 | Thunder Fight 20 | |
| W | Jenefer Rodriguez | Decision (split) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Favela Kombat 32: Pedra vs. Nogueira | |
| W | Beatriz Ferreira | Submission (Armbar) · R2, 2:52 | 2 | 2:52 | NCE 27: New Corpore Extreme 27 |
Professional MMA bouts only, newest first. Source: ESPN (checked 2 Oct 2026).
Alexia Thainara: frequently asked questions
When is Alexia Thainara's next fight?
No fight is officially booked as of 1 Oct 2026.
Who did Alexia Thainara fight last?
Alexia Thainara beat Amanda Lemos at UFC Fight Night on 8 Aug 2026 (Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00).
Who is Alexia Thainara likely to fight next?
NextSmash model estimate: Yan Xiaonan (9%), Tabatha Ricci (7%), Mackenzie Dern (6%). Updated 1 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
What is Alexia Thainara's record?
15-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 1 Oct 2026).
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Other women's strawweight fighters
- Loopy Godinez #8 · next: Ketlen Souza 92%
- Jéssica Andrade #10 · next: Retires or steps away first 10%
- Fatima Kline #7 · next: Yan Xiaonan 14%
- Tabatha Ricci #11 · next: Jéssica Andrade 9%
- Yan Xiaonan #6 · next: Fatima Kline 14%
More: Women's Strawweight rankings and next fights · Brazil UFC fighters
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, rank, last fight) · 1 Oct 2026
- UFC.com rankings (Media + Meta), checked 1 Oct 2026 · 1 Oct 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country, fight history) · 1 Oct 2026
- MMA Fighting: Dern undisputed No. 1 with Zhang Weili's exit from 115 · 1 Oct 2026
- Sherdog: Dern names three potential opponents after UFC 330 · 1 Oct 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.