Most likely Michael Morales (45%), Proposed: Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov. No such card announced.. Next: Bonfim–Brady winner (10%), Carlos Prates (3%).
Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Likely opponents Model estimate
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Both men agreed publicly (DMs posted 21 Sep). Garry calls it 'the only fight that makes sense'. Not booked.Likely event: Proposed: Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov. No such card announced.
- Bonfim–Brady winner10%The other top-6 fight. Its winner is the natural next eliminator opponent if Morales falls through.
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He beat Prates in Apr 2025. Prates is heading to a title shot.
Field / other: 42%, including Islam Makhachev 3%. This covers everyone not listed above.
- Likely event
- Late 2026 or early 2027. The fighters proposed Saudi Arabia on 28 Nov (no card announced).
- Last fight
- Loss vs Islam Makhachev · Decision (unanimous) R5 5:00 · UFC 330 · 15 Aug 2026
- Career stage
- One loss (title fight). Rebuilding with a top-5 opponent.
- Confidence
- Medium (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last updated
- (UAE time)
Ian Machado Garry: frequently asked questions
When is Ian Machado Garry's next fight?
No fight is officially booked as of 1 Oct 2026. Our outlook: Late 2026 or early 2027. The fighters proposed Saudi Arabia on 28 Nov (no card announced).
Who did Ian Machado Garry fight last?
Ian Machado Garry lost to Islam Makhachev at UFC 330 on 15 Aug 2026 (Decision (unanimous) R5 5:00).
Who is Ian Machado Garry likely to fight next?
NextSmash model estimate: Michael Morales (45%), Bonfim–Brady winner (10%), Carlos Prates (3%). Updated 1 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
What is Ian Machado Garry's record?
17-2-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 1 Oct 2026).
Your pick
Other welterweight fighters
- Islam Makhachev Champion · next: Carlos Prates 70%
- Carlos Prates #2 · next: Islam Makhachev 70%
- Michael Morales #3 · next: Ian Machado Garry 45%
- Jack Della Maddalena #4 · next: Leon Edwards 25%
- Gabriel Bonfim #5 · next: Sean Brady 92%
More: Welterweight rankings and next fights · Ireland UFC fighters
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, rank, last fight) · 1 Oct 2026
- UFC.com rankings (Media Panel + Meta boards) · 1 Oct 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country, record cross-check) · 1 Oct 2026
- Sherdog: Garry and Morales agree to fight (Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov proposed) · 22 Sep 2026
- MiddleEasy: Morales publishes Garry DMs; not booked by the UFC · 21 Sep 2026
- MMA Fighting: Garry calls Morales 'the only fight that makes sense' · 8 Sep 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.