Most likely Carlos Prates (70%), Jan 2027 target. No date or venue announced.. Next: Michael Morales (15%), Ian Machado Garry (3%).
Updated (Dubai time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Likely opponents Model estimate
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Prates says the fight is 'locked in', probably January. Makhachev has said Prates is the more deserving contender. Not announced by the UFC.Likely event: Jan 2027 target. No date or venue announced.
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Unbeaten #3 and the UFC 330 backup. ESPN's wild card if Prates isn't next. Hasn't fought since Nov 2025.
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Just lost to Makhachev in August. Immediate rematches score very low on freshness.
Field / other: 12%. This covers everyone not listed above.
- Likely event
- A December or January card (Prates wants Vegas in December; January is more likely). Nothing announced.
- Last fight
- Win vs Ian Machado Garry · Decision (unanimous) R5 5:00 · UFC 330 · 15 Aug 2026
- Career stage
- 17 straight UFC wins. Peak: active champion.
- Confidence
- Medium (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last updated
- (Dubai time)
Islam Makhachev: frequently asked questions
When is Islam Makhachev's next fight?
No fight is officially booked as of 1 Oct 2026. Our outlook: A December or January card (Prates wants Vegas in December; January is more likely). Nothing announced.
Who did Islam Makhachev fight last?
Islam Makhachev beat Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 on 15 Aug 2026 (Decision (unanimous) R5 5:00).
Who is Islam Makhachev likely to fight next?
NextSmash model estimate: Carlos Prates (70%), Michael Morales (15%), Ian Machado Garry (3%). Updated 1 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
What is Islam Makhachev's record?
29-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 1 Oct 2026).
Your pick
Other welterweight fighters
- Ian Machado Garry #1 · next: Michael Morales 45%
- Carlos Prates #2 · next: Islam Makhachev 70%
- Michael Morales #3 · next: Ian Machado Garry 45%
- Jack Della Maddalena #4 · next: Leon Edwards 25%
- Gabriel Bonfim #5 · next: Sean Brady 92%
More: Welterweight rankings and next fights · Russia UFC fighters
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, rank, last fight) · 1 Oct 2026
- UFC.com rankings (Media Panel + Meta boards) · 1 Oct 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country, record cross-check) · 1 Oct 2026
- AgentMMA: Prates says the Makhachev fight is locked in, likely January · 23 Sep 2026
- Heavy: Prates confirms Makhachev fight, date TBD · 23 Sep 2026
- MixedMartialArts.com: Makhachev prefers Prates, wants to fight before Ramadan · 17 Aug 2026
- ESPN: Should Prates or Morales be next? (UFC 330 what's next) · 16 Aug 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.